London projected medal count

Tokyo Olympics Sumit Nagal's projected opponents as per the draw. Tokyo Olympics: Indian men's hockey team's projected path to final. Edited by S Chowdhury 4. Tokyo Olympics India Coverage. Sort by: Most popular Recent Most upvotes. Login to post your comment. Show More Comments. No thanks Delete. Cancel Update. We are also doing an analysis of the prediction after each Olympic Games to see which methods or people are best at predicting the medal table.

Share: Facebook Twitter. Check out the list of Olympic Games sports , as well as discontinued and demonstration sports.

The largest sporting event in the world is the Olympic Games , but there are many other multi-sport games.

To see what's coming up, check out the calendar of major sporting events. Any comments, suggestions or corrections? Please let us know. But can countries really increase Olympic medal counts at will? The new field of Olympics forecasting says the answer is a resounding no.

Medal counts for individual countries from the Sydney to London Olympics have been predicted relatively accurately, using just a small number of demographic and economic characteristics, such as population size and GDP per capita. Indeed, forecasts of Olympic performances for most major medal-winning countries based on their characteristics have been quite close to actual medal counts.

An early influential set of forecasts used just three variables to predict medal counts. For the Sydney Olympics, these predicted that Australia would win 52 to 57 medals, compared with an actual tally of 58 medals. The US was predicted to win 97 to medals and won New Zealand was supposed to win five medals against an actual count of four.

The first variable is population size. The second variable is GDP per capita. In countries with higher GDP per capita, the population is likely to have more leisure time to devote to sports and there will be better infrastructure and more funding for training elite athletes.